The Midwinter issue of Walt Crawford's Cites & Insights is now online. This issue features predictions by many other observers, including my own OA predictions for 2004 and 2005. Excerpt: 'Peter Suber offered 14 predictions for 2004 in the February 2, 2004 issue. You might want to look back at those predictions. I'd say he got 12 of 14 right and the other three at least partly right. (I haven't seen that much OA activity in the humanities and I don't believe Amazon's "Search inside the book" has either proved or disproved the concept that free online full-text triggers more sales of print books, although I believe that to be probable.) That's a remarkable track record, particularly given that some of the projections were neither obvious nor (I would have said at the time) likely.' (PS: I feel free to quote this since I didn't evaluate my own 2004 predictions this year.)
Posted by
Peter Suber at 1/11/2005 10:12:00 PM.
The open access movement:
Putting peer-reviewed scientific and scholarly literature
on the internet. Making it available free of charge and
free of most copyright and licensing restrictions.
Removing the barriers to serious research.
